Techno Press
Techno Press

Structural Engineering and Mechanics
  Volume 37, Number 6, March25 2011 , pages 685-691
DOI: https://doi.org/10.12989/sem.2011.37.6.685
 

A custom building deterioration model
O.A. Hosny, A.A. Elhakeem and T. Hegazy

 
Abstract
    Developing accurate prediction models for deterioration behavior represents a challenging but essential task in comprehensive Infrastructure Management Systems. The challenge may be a result of the lack of historical data, impact of unforeseen parameters, and/or the past repair/maintenance practices. These realities contribute heavily to the noticeable variability in deterioration behavior even among similar components. This paper introduces a novel approach to predict the deterioration of any infrastructure component. The approach is general as it fits any component, however the prediction is custom for a specific item to consider the inherent impacts of expected and unexpected parameters that affect its unique deterioration behavior.
 
Key Words
    IMS; deterioration modeling; Markov chains; optimization; repair and maintenance.
 
Address
O.A. Hosny: The American University in Cairo, Cairo, Egyp
A.A. Elhakeem: AUC/KAUST, The American University in Cairo, Cairo, Egypt
T. Hegazy: University of Waterloo, Waterloo, Canada
 
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