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Earthquakes and Structures
  Volume 20, Number 1, January 2021 , pages 109-122
DOI: https://doi.org/10.12989/eas.2021.20.1.109
 


Strain demand prediction of buried steel pipeline at strike-slip fault crossings: A surrogate model approach
Junyao Xie, Lu Zhang, Qian Zheng, Xiaoben Liu, Stevan Dubljevic and Hong Zhang

 
Abstract
    Significant progress in the oil and gas industry advances the application of pipeline into an intelligent era, which poses rigorous requirements on pipeline safety, reliability, and maintainability, especially when crossing seismic zones. In general, strike-slip faults are prone to induce large deformation leading to local buckling and global rupture eventually. To evaluate the performance and safety of pipelines in this situation, numerical simulations are proved to be a relatively accurate and reliable technique based on the built-in physical models and advanced grid technology. However, the computational cost is prohibitive, so one has to wait for a long time to attain a calculation result for complex large-scale pipelines. In this manuscript, an efficient and accurate surrogate model based on machine learning is proposed for strain demand prediction of buried X80 pipelines subjected to strike-slip faults. Specifically, the support vector regression model serves as a surrogate model to learn the high-dimensionally nonlinear relationship which maps multiple input variables, including pipe geometries, internal pressures, and strike-slip displacements, to output variables (namely tensile strains and compressive strains). The effectiveness and efficiency of the proposed method are validated by numerical studies considering different effects caused by structural sizes, internal pressure, and strike-slip movements.
 
Key Words
    strike-slip faults; X80 pipeline; surrogate model; strain demand prediction; support vector regression
 
Address
Junyao Xie, Lu Zhang,Stevan Dubljevic:Department of Chemical and Materials Engineering, University of Alberta, Edmonton, AB T6G 2V4, Canada
Qian Zheng:National Engineering Laboratory for Pipeline Safety, MOE Key Laboratory of Petroleum Engineering, Beijing Key Laboratory of Urban Oil and Gas Distribution Technology, China University of Petroleum-Beijing, 102249, China/ Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Alberta, Edmonton, Alberta T6G 2W2, Canada
Xiaoben Liu,Hong Zhang:National Engineering Laboratory for Pipeline Safety, MOE Key Laboratory of Petroleum Engineering, Beijing Key Laboratory of Urban Oil and Gas Distribution Technology, China University of Petroleum-Beijing, 102249, China
 

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