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  Volume 2, Number 2, April 2017 , pages 121-131
DOI: https://doi.org/10.12989/acd.2017.2.2.121
 

Collapse risk evaluation method on Bayesian network prediction model and engineering application
Jing WANG, Shucai LI, Liping LI, Shaoshuai SHI, Zhenhao XU and Peng LIN

 
Abstract
    Collapse was one of the typical common geological hazards during the construction of tunnels. The risk assessment of collapse was an effective way to ensure the safety of tunnels. We established a prediction model of collapse based on Bayesian Network. 76 large or medium collapses in China were analyzed. The variable set and range of the model were determined according to the statistics. A collapse prediction software was developed and its veracity was also evaluated. At last the software was used to predict tunnel collapses. It effectively evaded the disaster. Establishing the platform can be subsequent perfect. The platform can also be applied to the risk assessment of other tunnel engineering.
 
Key Words
    76 large or medium collapses; Bayesian Network; prediction model of collapse; collapse prediction software; engineering application
 
Address
Jing WANG, Shucai LI, Liping LI, Shaoshuai SHI, Zhenhao XU and Peng LIN: Research Center of Geotechnical and Structural Engineering, Shandong University, Jinan 250061, China
 

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